BYD’s EV Discounts Threaten U.S. Auto Dominance|Owlmygod


May 31, 2025, 6 p.m.

Views: 1844


China’s EV surge is state-supported and strategically timed. The U.S. must act before industrial overcapacity and rare-earth leverage tilt the balance.

China’s electric vehicle (EV) giants are locked in a fierce price war, spearheaded by BYD, that’s shaking global markets and posing a serious long-term threat to U.S. automakers, including Tesla. What may appear as a domestic competition within China is, in fact, a strategic maneuver that could flood international markets with low-cost, state-backed EVs—putting America’s industrial base at risk.

On May 23, BYD slashed prices by up to 34% across many of its electric vehicles. These steep discounts aren’t just market-driven. They are made possible by BYD’s vertically integrated manufacturing, heavy government support, and aggressive state-aligned scaling. The company remains profitable overseas thanks to higher-margin exports, even as domestic cuts squeeze margins.

BYD’s move triggered a wave of retaliatory discounts from rivals such as XPeng, Nio, Li Auto, Zeekr, and Xiaomi. The China Association of Automobile Manufacturers stepped in, urging companies to halt the self-destructive pricing, but the damage—and intent—is clear: dominate the global EV race at all costs.

Why This Matters to the U.S.

  1. Strategic Undercutting of U.S. Firms
    Tesla’s position in China is faltering. Deutsche Bank expects Tesla’s China sales in May to reach just 39,000, down 30% year-over-year. Meanwhile, BYD is projected to hit 390,000, with 100,000 of those shipped overseas. As Chinese companies ramp up low-cost exports, American EVs risk being outpriced in global markets, undermining U.S. innovation and manufacturing.

  2. Weaponizing Overcapacity
    China is no stranger to using industrial overcapacity as a geopolitical weapon. Its playbook is clear: oversaturate global markets with subsidized products to wipe out competition. What happened in the solar panel and steel industries could now repeat in the EV sector, with devastating consequences for American jobs and economic security.

  3. Exporting China’s Surveillance Ecosystem
    EVs are no longer just vehicles—they are data platforms. Many Chinese EVs feature integrated ADAS and AI systems, which could pose national security risks. With increasing Chinese EV exports, foreign nations—including the U.S.—may unknowingly adopt vehicles with surveillance vulnerabilities or software that can be manipulated remotely.

  4. Economic Leverage Through Rare Earths
    President Donald Trump recently accused China of “totally violating” the rare-earth truce, pointing to their quiet restriction of key export flows. As China dominates rare-earth refining, it holds leverage over the components vital to EVs and clean energy technologies. America’s dependence here is a strategic vulnerability.

U.S. Must Respond Proactively

As China’s EV firms, many backed by state actors or allied funds, rush to capture overseas markets, the U.S. cannot afford complacency. Chinese firms such as XPeng and Nio are launching new models (e.g., the Mona M03 or Onvo L60) designed to undercut Tesla in price and features. Meanwhile, Xiaomi, traditionally a smartphone giant, is entering the EV space with the SU7 and YU7—vehicles already outselling Tesla’s Model 3 in some markets.

This isn’t just market competition—it’s state-supported industrial warfare.

The U.S. must:

In the short term, American automakers face market share erosion. In the long term, the entire U.S. auto sector—and by extension, national economic autonomy—could be at stake. The Chinese EV surge is no longer just a trade issue; it’s a national security concern.


Return to blog